ACUS11 KWNS 261912
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261911=20
OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-262115-

Mesoscale Discussion 1457
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0211 PM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025

Areas affected...portions of far northern Texas...western
Oklahoma...into far southern Kansas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 261911Z - 262115Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Storms with potential for strong to severe wind possible
this afternoon.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm development is ongoing across far western
Oklahoma this afternoon where daytime heating has allowed MLCIN to
erode. Temperatures are now in the mid 80s to mid 90s with dew
points in the upper 60s to 70s. MLCAPE around 1000-2000 J/kg is
noted in surface objective analysis. Though the background flow is
generally weak, steep lapse rates around 8-8.5 C/km and moist
profiles will support a few strong storms capable of strong to
severe winds through the afternoon. Given the lack of shear for a
more widespread and organized threat, a watch is unlikely to be
needed.

..Thornton/Hart.. 06/26/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4PtCVPVR89l8KkwF08eOmjEDPN4dfzEPTjRdiqJBtZlj5iaP3m_hlhCL46o_v9GFBGtVIgOLf= DWYNCJ08_FC5e6y3AQ$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...

LAT...LON 34530051 35969985 37069920 37199805 37139710 36859680
36529672 36189673 35259736 34209807 34069885 34260004
34530051=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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