ACUS11 KWNS 260313
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260312=20
SCZ000-GAZ000-260515-

Mesoscale Discussion 1449
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1012 PM CDT Wed Jun 25 2025

Areas affected...Eastern Georgia

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 459...462...

Valid 260312Z - 260515Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 459, 462
continues.

SUMMARY...A convective line will continue to push into eastern
Georgia with a damaging wind and severe hail threat for the next few
hours.

DISCUSSION...A loosely organized MCS continues to push southwest
into eastern GA with a recent history of producing 40-50 mph winds
and swaths of wind damage. Additionally, a few severe hail reports
have been noted with some of the deeper cores. However, the MCS
remains outflow dominant, and GOES IR imagery over the past 2 hours
shows slowly warming cloud-top temperatures, indicative of a gradual
weakening trend. In general, the MCS should continue to slowly
weaken over the next several hours as MLCIN slowly increases via
continued nocturnal cooling. In the short term (next 1-2 hours),
stronger embedded cells within the line will remain possible, as
evidence by recent echo tops briefly reaching up to 50 kft, and
transient, but intense, updrafts developing downstream across
southern GA. These short-term trends suggests that the
near-storm/downstream environment will continue to support deep
convection. As such, the expectation is for a continuation of the
MCS with embedded swaths of stronger winds and sporadic large hail
associated with the development (and collapse) of deeper updrafts
embedded within the line.

..Moore.. 06/26/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4Yi70Bc0v9FJ3AqObDw9b1oC6iNX3Qjbs2W_uGw29H_SGbLbhd55HAxa33o0zAIgLZra7zUuL= ynduvthH3pNC3qrFjw$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...

LAT...LON 33318240 33158169 32888123 32618092 32458081 32178090
31688129 31428177 31388230 31448277 31648328 31928355
32208370 32458368 32768352 33318240=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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