ACUS11 KWNS 252225
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 252224=20
IAZ000-NEZ000-260000-

Mesoscale Discussion 1444
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0524 PM CDT Wed Jun 25 2025

Areas affected...portions of southern into eastern
Nebraska...western into northern Iowa

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 460...

Valid 252224Z - 260000Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 460
continues.

SUMMARY...Strong thunderstorms will persist with a severe gust
threat over the next few hours, and a couple instances of severe
hail cannot be ruled out.

DISCUSSION...Several strong thunderstorms continue to consolidate
along a frontal boundary over NE into IA. While merging their cold
pools, several of these storms have become outflow dominant, given
that the stronger (i.e. 40 kts) effective bulk shear is lagging in
the post-frontal boundary airmass. Storms should remain loosely
organized along the frontal boundary, where 2500 J/kg MLCAPE will
support a continued risk for some severe gusts and perhaps a couple
instances of hail over the next few hours.

..Squitieri.. 06/25/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8ZW_6zsn1FDAnftcghO1CXc-nIqplXeH-IcrJqQ275iAYWXv2hsNIb9CyEZ_YZfg21B0OflW7= u8pj03cf2vGAUc_xzk$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DMX...FSD...OAX...GID...LBF...GLD...

LAT...LON 41210013 41849801 42939442 43109326 42839306 42349367
41389599 40739793 40279879 40139937 40090003 40190021
41210013=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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