ACUS11 KWNS 211022
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 211021=20
MIZ000-211145-

Mesoscale Discussion 1395
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0521 AM CDT Sat Jun 21 2025

Areas affected...portions of Lower MI

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 211021Z - 211145Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated convection may occasionally produce hail and
gusty winds through early morning.

DISCUSSION...Isolated storms will develop/move generally east across
portions of northern/central Lower MI the next several hours. This
activity is occurring within a moderately unstable and strongly
sheared airmass. However, strong low-level inhibition means these
storms will likely remain elevated within the warm advection regime
on the periphery of the low-level jet. Steep midlevel lapse rates,
supercell wind profiles, and modest instability will still foster
potential for strong to isolated severe storms produce hail and
gusty winds the next few hours. Trends will continue to be
monitored, but a watch is not currently expected.

..Leitman/Mosier.. 06/21/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!765BWW539u9d1fNeYWAq40MI8-Ks624glrVH3faz75378HcPN8hA7f8i-WYV9fPgr_fe0BZLL= DhhNMI8fomOijpXDEs$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DTX...APX...GRR...

LAT...LON 46038530 45538336 43968350 43478446 43658517 44378616
44708636 45198640 46038530=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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