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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1370

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thu Jun 19 20:34:47 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 192034
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 192034=20
    MEZ000-NHZ000-MAZ000-VTZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-192230-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1370
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0334 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025

    Areas affected...New York City into New England

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 441...443...

    Valid 192034Z - 192230Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 441, 443
    continues.

    SUMMARY...As temperatures have warmed in New England, storms have
    shown some intensification recently. Wind damage remains possible
    late this afternoon.

    DISCUSSION...Strong to severe storms continue from the New York City
    vicinity into New England. With pockets of upper 80s/low 90s F in
    parts of New England, storms have actually shown a modest increase
    in intensity over the last couple hours. Activity has remained more
    cellular with southern extent. These cells will continue moving
    northeast through the afternoon. Isolated wind damage is possible.
    Farther north, Effective shear and forcing for ascent are greater. A
    linear segment is moving north-northeast in northern Vermont.
    Additional strong storms in southern Quebec may eventually impact
    portions of western/northern Maine. Even though temperatures have
    remained cooler in Maine, stronger forcing should still promote a
    wind damage threat.

    ..Wendt.. 06/19/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7u2Ng7UxlnV8m_w45sY2JpoL6-qRq8gYfGOE3D40MivU4QbBosy2OKgWc2xm9wdFQsiawuqOj= pBvuX-jFvwOUux0-tI$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...

    LAT...LON 42017205 40907320 40607436 40907443 41297408 41607382
    42307355 44287333 45017303 46047234 46916954 46346909
    44427002 42017205=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


    =3D =3D =3D
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