ACUS11 KWNS 191923
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 191922=20
NJZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-VAZ000-DCZ000-WVZ000-192115-

Mesoscale Discussion 1369
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0222 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025

Areas affected...South-central Virginia into central/eastern
Maryland and southeast Pennsylvania

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 442...

Valid 191922Z - 192115Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 442
continues.

SUMMARY...Strong to severe winds are the primary threat this
afternoon, particularly with linear segments. The environment in the DC/Baltimore/Philadelphia remains favorable.

DISCUSSION...Strong to isolated severe wind gusts have occurred with
storms just east of the Blue Ridge this afternoon. Given the linear
structures that have evolved in northern Virginia and central
Maryland, areas ahead of this activity will have a greater risk for strong/damaging winds. Temperatures in Virginia and Maryland have
risen into the low 90s F with upper 80s F into southeast
Pennsylvania. Steep low-level lapse rates and 1500-2000 J/kg MLCAPE
will support a continued threat for strong to severe wind gusts as
storms move towards the DC/Baltimore/Philadelphia corridor.

..Wendt.. 06/19/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4Vf0mqY21uDxV7Qmktm0ZQLeYLgXx-Eg8wCajTuycWkOXdQervBbajBf5EoNFVlqu65Ac1QR_= Id1IV7MktCmGOIZ8iU$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...CTP...LWX...RNK...

LAT...LON 36827957 38467870 40187709 40417564 40277485 39967494
39577525 37937647 37037771 36827957=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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