• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1367

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thu Jun 19 18:17:45 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 191817
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 191817=20
    PAZ000-MDZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-KYZ000-192015-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1367
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0117 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025

    Areas affected...Upper Ohio Valley Vicinity

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 191817Z - 192015Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

    SUMMARY...Widely scattered strong to near-severe gusts may produce
    wind damage this afternoon. Weak thermodynamics should limit a more widespread/organized threat this afternoon.

    DISCUSSION...Stronger forcing from the upper trough as well as the
    surface cold front has promoted thunderstorm development in the
    upper Ohio Valley region. Recent surface observations show a 46 kt
    gust in Parkersburg, WV along with a few wind damage reports. Given
    the enhanced low-level winds near the surface low, additional strong
    to near-severe winds are possible through the afternoon. The
    greatest threat will be with linear segments moving east through
    West Virginia. Marginal low-level and mid-level lapse rates should
    keep the threat less organized and more sporadic in nature.

    ..Wendt/Hart.. 06/19/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6Dq3QTahxir9o9zpsDq0xIwKW3ZBecLVeoVP-3XLnURi4Gil189M9Z1qVJTXSJMAmCgEX0ykQ= f7XujR_LvyFMqfpuuM$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...CTP...LWX...PBZ...RLX...CLE...JKL...ILN...

    LAT...LON 37848376 39758164 39868165 40758093 41048037 40617905
    40077906 39387962 38128102 37588199 37428371 37848376=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


    =3D =3D =3D
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