• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0581

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Apr 28 01:48:31 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 280148
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 280147=20
    NEZ000-SDZ000-280245-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0581
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0847 PM CDT Sun Apr 27 2025

    Areas affected...Parts of northwest/north-central Nebraska

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 178...

    Valid 280147Z - 280245Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 178 continues.

    SUMMARY...The supercell tornado risk continues across portions of
    northwest into north-central Nebraska.

    DISCUSSION...Several long-lived right-moving supercells have merged
    into a supercell cluster over the last hour over Cherry County
    Nebraska. The LNX VWP depicts a 50-kt low-level jet overspreading
    backed surface winds -- yielding a large clockwise-curved hodograph
    (280 m2/s2 0-500m SRH). This wind profile, combined with rich
    boundary-layer moisture (lower 60s dewpoints) will continue to
    support a supercell tornado threat with northeastward extent over at
    least the next hour.

    ..Weinman.. 04/28/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4wC9rmg8EhET9xtswe2fMqMTMHKLGRCowSVYthaEMK9QAKplxehM4uHSqO0vfjhqujW6AHLcY= g6g7bCTAoNaPzR48vI$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...

    LAT...LON 42050144 42270173 42510173 42970120 43060071 42850038
    42480026 42120069 42030114 42050144=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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