• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0579

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue Apr 30 22:14:42 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 302214
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 302214=20
    TXZ000-010015-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0579
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0514 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

    Areas affected...portions of west Texas

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

    Valid 302214Z - 010015Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

    SUMMARY...Local risk of very large hail will continue into the
    evening.

    DISCUSSION...Storms located along the dryline over west Texas have a
    history of producing very large hail, up to 2.5 inches in diameter
    during the past hour. Sounding analysis indicates favorable long
    hodographs, ample instability, and with deep layer flow that would
    support continued risk of very large hail. There is some uncertainty
    in the overall coverage of storms and thus the coverage of the
    severe threat.

    ..Thornton/Smith.. 04/30/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5as2p6noerb0dK5YLZE2jz6O6inPgcCMlzegAtii7SJCedOpIXhyjkLBYNYT9I2rsWY0_qOPq= FDIH_KonSZL1ysTwlA$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF...

    LAT...LON 31140245 31690217 32260175 32340133 32120077 31520078
    30530116 29790124 29600147 29550184 29700230 29760252
    29880264 31140245=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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